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BEST BETS · 1 unit flat · walk-forward backtest
-1.5%
-55.3u
55.4% Win Rate · 2114-1700 · 3,814 picks
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MLB Games 1
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2023-10-17
AZ 0  @  PHI 10
Citizens Bank Park
45% 55%
PHI
WIN
Final
▼

Best Bets

No star-rated picks for this game

Sim Distribution (% by .5)

Total Runs (Over)
O6.5 78% O7.5 67% O8.5 59% O9.5 49% O10.5 41% O11.5 33%
Run Line
PHI -1.5 38% AZ -1.5 35% PHI -2.5 27% AZ -2.5 25%

Odds & Predictions

Metric AZ (Away) PHI (Home)
Moneyline +136 -162
Implied % 40.7% 59.3%
Predicted % 45.5% 54.5%
Runline +1.5 -156 -1.5 +130
RL + Pred 6.1 2.4
Pred Runs 4.56 3.90
Mkt implied runs 3.00 4.50
O/U line U 7.5 -120 O 7.5 -102
Predicted total 8.5
Weather 57°F · 3 mph WNW

Top DFS Plays

PlayerPosProjSalary
Aaron Nola pitching 19.6 $8,600
Merrill Kelly pitching 17.2 $8,800
Kyle Schwarber hitting 9.7 $4,500
Full Game Details →