Tampa Bay Rays

49% win

pred 4.3

Freddy Peralta

FINAL

Atlanta Braves

52% win

pred 4.2

AJ Smith-Shawver

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
TB	1	0	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	7	11
ATL	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5

2026-09-08 · 7:15 PM ET Truist Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Richie Palacios	2B	21.0	$3.4k	6.2
Victor Mesa Jr.	OF	15.0	$3.2k	4.7
Liam Hicks	C	20.0	$4.4k	4.6
Yandy Díaz	1B/3B	21.0	$4.9k	4.3
Junior Caminero	3B	23.0	$6.4k	3.6
Chandler Simpson	OF	10.0	$3.7k	2.7
Brent Suter	RP	9.9	$4.0k	2.5
Freddy Peralta	SP	15.9	$6.8k	2.3
Jorge Mateo	2B/SS	5.0	$2.7k	1.9
Elieser Hernández	SP	5.5	$4.0k	1.4
Jonathan Aranda	1B	5.0	$4.2k	1.2
Kevin Kelly	RP	4.3	$4.0k	1.1
Drake Baldwin	C	5.0	$4.9k	1.0
Ronald Acuña Jr.	OF	5.0	$6.0k	0.8
Mauricio Dubón	OF/SS	3.0	$3.8k	0.8
Austin Riley	3B	3.0	$3.9k	0.8
Matt Olson	1B	3.0	$5.0k	0.6
Bryan Baker	RP	2.3	$4.0k	0.6
Ozzie Albies	2B	2.0	$4.3k	0.5
Cole Sulser	RP	2.3	$5.3k	0.4
AJ Smith-Shawver	RP	0.7	$6.2k	0.1

Predictions

Atlanta Braves

ML · Model 52%

-117 · $85 per $100

LOSS

Atlanta Braves +1.5

RL · 1.4 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

UNDER 8.5

TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 8.5

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Atlanta Braves ML + Atlanta Braves +1.5 + UNDER 8.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+576 · $576 per $100

LOSS

TB 49% 52% ATL

Odds

moneyline ATL 52% · -117 · $85 per $100

Book	TB	Impl%	ATL	Impl%
DraftKings	-103	48.5%	-117	51.5%

runline Atlanta Braves +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

TB -1.5: TB 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs ATL 4.2 no bet

ATL +1.5: ATL 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs TB 4.3 BET ✗

Book	TB		ATL
DraftKings	-1.5	-110	+1.5	-110

total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.5 -115	U 8.5 -105

Player Projections actual (projected)

Tampa Bay Rays

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Junior Caminero	3B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	10.2	—
Yandy Díaz	1B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.9	—
Jonathan Aranda	1B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.4	—
Victor Mesa Jr.	CF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.7	—
Liam Hicks	C	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.3	—
Richie Palacios	LF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.8	—
Jonny DeLuca	CF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.6	—
Chandler Simpson	CF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.4	—
Jorge Mateo	SS	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.7	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Freddy Peralta	Starter	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	13.7	—

Atlanta Braves

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Matt Olson	1B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	10.4	—
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.5	—
Mike Yastrzemski	RF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.0	—
Drake Baldwin	C	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.9	—
Michael Harris II	CF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.8	—
Austin Riley	3B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.8	—
Ozzie Albies	2B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.6	—
Mauricio Dubón	2B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.1	—
Sean Murphy	C	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.0	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
AJ Smith-Shawver	Starter	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	11.3	—

Box Score

Tampa Bay Rays — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Yandy Díaz	5	2	1	1	2		1	$4,900 — —	9.9	21.0	+11.1
Jonathan Aranda	4	1				1	1	$4,200 — —	9.4	5.0	-4.4
Junior Caminero	4	2		1	1			$6,400 — —	10.2	23.0	+12.9
Liam Hicks	3	1		1	2	1		$4,400 — —	8.3	20.0	+11.7
Chandler Simpson	5	1					1	$3,700 — —	7.4	10.0	+2.6
Jonny DeLuca	5						1	$3,900 — —	7.6	0.0	-7.6
Victor Mesa Jr.	5	2	1		1			$3,200 — —	8.7	15.0	+6.3
Richie Palacios	4	1		1	1	1	2	$3,400 — —	7.8	21.0	+13.2
Jorge Mateo	5	1					3	$2,700 — —	6.7	5.0	-1.7
TOTALS	40	11	2	4	7	3	9		75.9	120.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Freddy Peralta	6.0	5	1	2	1	24	$6,800 — —	13.7	15.9	+2.2
Kevin Kelly	1.0		0	1		3	$4,000 — —	—	4.3
Cole Sulser	1.0		0			3	$5,300 — —	—	2.3
Bryan Baker	1.0		0			3	$4,000 — —	—	2.3

Atlanta Braves — Hitting

Player	AB	H	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Michael Harris II	4					$4,400 — —	8.8	0.0	-8.8
Ronald Acuña Jr.	4	1				$6,000 — —	9.5	5.0	-4.5
Matt Olson	4	1				$5,000 — —	10.4	3.0	-7.4
Drake Baldwin	4	1	1			$4,900 — —	8.9	5.0	-3.9
Mauricio Dubón	4	1				$3,800 — —	7.1	3.0	-4.1
Ozzie Albies	3			1	1	$4,300 — —	7.6	2.0	-5.6
Austin Riley	3	1			2	$3,900 — —	7.8	3.0	-4.8
Mike Yastrzemski	3					$2,700 — —	9.0	0.0	-9.0
Sean Murphy	3					$2,800 — —	7.0	0.0	-7.0
TOTALS	32	5	1	1	3		76.0	21.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
AJ Smith-Shawver	3.1	5	4	3	2	2	19	$6,200 — —	11.3	0.7	-10.6
Brent Suter	3.2	3	1	2		0	15	$4,000 — —	—	9.9
Elieser Hernández	2.0	3	2	4	1	2	11	$4,000 — —	—	5.5