Philadelphia Phillies

52% win

pred 3.5

Tim Mayza

FINAL

Atlanta Braves

48% win

pred 3.9

Tyler Mahle

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H
PHI	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	7
ATL	0	0	0	8	0	1	0	3		12	13

2026-09-12 · 7:15 PM ET Truist Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Michael Harris II	OF	34.0	$4.5k	7.6
Justin Crawford	OF	14.0	$2.9k	4.8
Ronald Acuña Jr.	OF	26.0	$5.8k	4.5
Tim Mayza	RP	13.6	$4.0k	3.4
Sean Murphy	C	9.0	$2.7k	3.3
Ozzie Albies	2B	13.0	$4.0k	3.3
Mauricio Dubón	OF	11.0	$3.8k	2.9
Tyler Mahle	SP	20.2	$7.0k	2.9
Bryce Harper	1B	14.0	$5.5k	2.6
DaShawn Keirsey Jr.	OF	5.0	$2.0k	2.5
Drake Baldwin	C	11.0	$4.6k	2.4
J.T. Realmuto	C	6.0	$3.0k	2.0
Alec Bohm	3B	6.0	$3.4k	1.8
Austin Riley	3B	7.0	$4.1k	1.7
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	4.0	$2.4k	1.7
Orion Kerkering	RP	4.6	$4.0k	1.2
Brent Suter	RP	3.9	$4.0k	1.0
Chase Shugart	RP	3.0	$4.0k	0.8
Trea Turner	SS	3.0	$4.2k	0.7

Best Bets

Philadelphia Phillies

ML ★★ · +8.7% edge

+120 · $200 bet · $240 profit

Model: 52% vs Market: 43%

LOSS

Predictions

Philadelphia Phillies

ML · Model 52%

+120 · $120 per $100

LOSS

Philadelphia Phillies +1.5

RL · 1.1 off line

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

UNDER 8.5

TOTAL · Proj 7.4 vs Line 8.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Philadelphia Phillies ML + Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 + UNDER 8.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+702 · $702 per $100

LOSS

PHI 52% 48% ATL

Odds

moneyline PHI 52% · +120 · $120 per $100

Book	PHI	Impl%	ATL	Impl%
DraftKings	+120	43.5%	-145	56.5%

runline Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

ATL -1.5: ATL 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs PHI 3.5 no bet

PHI +1.5: PHI 3.5 + 1.5 = 5.0 vs ATL 3.9 BET ✗

Book	PHI		ATL
DraftKings	+1.5	-110	-1.5	-110

total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.5 -103	U 8.5 -117

Player Projections actual (projected)

Philadelphia Phillies

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Kyle Schwarber	LF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.4	—
Bryson Stott	2B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.3	—
Alec Bohm	3B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.9	—
Trea Turner	SS	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.3	—
Bryce Harper	1B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.2	—
Brandon Marsh	CF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.9	—
Luis Arraez	IF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.1	—
Justin Crawford	CF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.0	—
J.T. Realmuto	C	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Tim Mayza	Starter	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.8	—

Atlanta Braves

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Ronald Acuña Jr.	RF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.9	—
Matt Olson	1B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.6	—
Drake Baldwin	C	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.6	—
Michael Harris II	CF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.5	—
Ozzie Albies	2B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.5	—
Austin Riley	3B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.9	—
Sean Murphy	C	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.2	—
Mauricio Dubón	2B	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.1	—
Ha-Seong Kim	SS	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Tyler Mahle	Starter	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	15.7	—

Box Score

Philadelphia Phillies — Hitting

Player	AB	H	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Kyle Schwarber	4					2	$6,100 — —	9.4	0.0	-9.4
Trea Turner	3	1				1	$4,200 — —	8.3	3.0	-5.3
Bryce Harper	3	1	1	1		1	$5,500 — —	8.2	14.0	+5.8
Luis Arraez	4						$3,900 — —	7.1	0.0	-7.1
Alec Bohm	4	2					$3,400 — —	8.9	6.0	-2.9
Bryson Stott	3						$4,000 — —	9.3	0.0	-9.3
Brandon Marsh	3						$3,500 — —	7.9	0.0	-7.9
J.T. Realmuto	2	2					$3,000 — —	6.9	6.0	-0.9
Justin Crawford	3	1	1	1			$2,900 — —	7.0	14.0	+7.0
Edmundo Sosa	1						$2,700 — —	—	0.0
Bryan De La Cruz	1						$2,800 — —	—	0.0
Rafael Marchán	1						$2,500 — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	32	7	2	2	0	4		73.0	43.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Tim Mayza	2.1	2	0	4		0	9	$4,000 — —	9.8	13.6	+3.7
Brooks Raley	0.2	2	1	2	1	1	5	$4,000 — —	—	-2.3
Grant Holman	0.1	4	5		1	0	7	$4,000 — —	—	-2.3
Orion Kerkering	1.1	1	0	2	3	0	9	$4,000 — —	—	4.6
Chase Shugart	1.1		1			0	4	$4,000 — —	—	3.0
Garrett Stubbs	1.1	4	3			1	9	$2,000 — —	—	-6.0

Atlanta Braves — Hitting

Player	AB	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	K	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Drake Baldwin	5	1	1		2		2	$4,600 — —	8.6	11.0	+2.4
Ronald Acuña Jr.	3	3		1	2	1		$5,800 — —	8.9	26.0	+17.1
Matt Olson	5						1	$4,700 — —	8.6	0.0	-8.6
Ozzie Albies	3	1	1		1	1	1	$4,000 — —	7.5	13.0	+5.5
Michael Harris II	5	4		1	3			$4,500 — —	7.5	34.0	+26.5
Mauricio Dubón	4	1			2		1	$3,800 — —	6.1	11.0	+4.9
Austin Riley	3	1				1	1	$4,100 — —	6.9	7.0	+0.1
Sean Murphy	3	1	1			1	1	$2,700 — —	6.2	9.0	+2.8
Ha-Seong Kim	3					1	1	$2,400 — —	5.9	4.0	-1.9
DaShawn Keirsey Jr.	1	1						$2,000 — —	—	5.0
Kyle Farmer	1							$2,000 — —	—	0.0
TOTALS	36	13	3	2	10	5	8		66.2	120.0

Pitching

Pitcher	IP	H	ER	K	BB	HR	BF	Sal	Proj	FP	+/-
Tyler Mahle	6.1	6	1	3		1	25	$7,000 — —	15.7	20.2	+4.5
Brent Suter	2.0	1	1	1		1	7	$4,000 — —	—	3.9